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We All Know What Ghosts Look Like, Right?

Without saying a word, I rose from the sofa and walked straight to the kitchen. As I drew near a soft of mist seemed to pass before me; and as I looked at it, I saw William. I said to myself, “Poor William!” Daisy looked up. She feared something unimaginable had happened. “Are you okay, Aunt Sarah? Is anything the matter?” And when she drew near, she touched me as if I were as fine as a fabric. Her little hands hovered for a moment on my shoulders. “My dear; nothing is the matter. I simply had a thought of your uncle William and could not think of the pain and discomfort he had gone through. A supernatural breath of cold showed me his icy apparition,” I explained. “Aunt Sarah, I think it was very imprudent to sit with the window open. I will see to it that we light a fire to keep you warm,” said Daisy. Oh, she was lovely, and innocent, so sheerly innocent, her large dark eyes gazing at me as if I were a child. Life was hard in the valley even without the threat of Indian raids, hostile whites, and animal attacks. The women worked from dawn to dusk washing clothing and linen, preparing food, cleaning, tendering the gardens. It was such a large house that I had built. One could walk for days and not see the same room twice. Two of the servant women, Tindra and Sibylla, were comely with beautiful long dark hair that they would let loose like curtains of darkness across their shoulder. They did not have fancy jewelry. If they were vain about anything, it was their pretty hair. One afternoon the girls took the laundry down stairs. It was a pretty day. While they washing the clothes, hostile eyes were watching them from the shadows. #RandolphHarris 1 of 7

They belonged to a war party they had broken into the mansion. The hatchet-hard faces of the natives, daubed with red and black war paint, were ferocious to behold. Their hair was shaved along the sides and stood up in cockscombs on the top of their heads. They knew that they had found easy prey. Suddenly from downstairs came terrible cry and the girls looked behind them in terror. The sound was unmistakable to them. They dropped the laundry and gathered up their skirts to run. From the hallway ran demonic-faced, tawny figures. The girls fled like deer, but not fast enough. Within moments the terrible deeds were done and the two girls lay mangled and broken not far from the Venetian dining room. Their beautiful hair was gone, carried away to be sold and traded. Hours went by before anyone discovered the girls. They were found not far apart bloodied and their beautiful hair scalped. It was a tragedy that played out all too often in the valley. The girls were buried but not soon forgotten. It was not long until people began to claim that the girls, with their bloody scalped heads, were seen wandering the halls of my mansions. It was believed that they girls could not rest because their hair was taken. They had comeback to find their beautiful hair. On January 7, 1892 Ansgar Bergstrom, a farmer on the estate, died as the result of a fall. Although Ansgar was survived by his widow and four sons, the will that had been duly arrested by two witnesses on March 13, 1875, left all of his property to the third son, Olsson. #RandolphHarris 2 of 7

One night in August 1894, Svensson Bergstrom, the farmer’s second son, saw the spirit of his father standing at his bedside, while he was staying in one of the guest rooms in my home. The specter told him of the existence of another will. According to Sevensson, his father appeared before him that night as he often had in life, wearing a familiar black overcoat. “You will find the will in Mrs. Winchester Bureau,” the spirit said. The next morning Sevensson arose convinced that he had truly seen and heard the spirit of his father, and that the spirit had visited him for the purpose of correcting some error. After breakfast, he located the Bureau, and found inside a will. In this testament, the farmer stated that he desired his property to be divided equally among his four sons with the admonition that the provide for their mother as long as she lived. Although the second will had not been attested, it would be considered valid if it could be proven that it had been written entirely in Ansgar Bergstrom’s own handwriting. Olsson Bergstrom, the sole beneficiary under the conditions of the original will, had passed away with a year of his father. Olsson’s widow and son prepared to contest the validity of the second will, and the residents of the county anticipated a long and bitter court battle between members of the Bergstrom family. At that moment, an Indian appeared, telling the Bergstrom family to share the wealth or they would be doomed to wander Eternity. #RandolphHarris 3 of 7

The Bergstrom family proceeded with the court battle. That evening, an Indian woman broke into my home, where they had been staying while contesting the will. With knives, she sliced their thighs so they could not walk through the afterlife; decapitated them so they could not function headless; and copped off their feet so they could not return home. My horses were torn to pieces, and some ran wild. It was a ritualistic mutilation, but no bloody hand prints nor footprints were found. I did not believe these immortal deeds were done by mortal men. I have seen and heard a number of mysterious, unexplainable things in my home, but this was by far the most gruesome. There were often phantom sounds of people cheering from the fruit orchards, to gun fire echoing off the nine-story observation tower in this distance. However, perhaps the eeriest occurred only at certain times—after a thunderstorm of during full moon when the shadows dance a mournful waltz in the Grand Ball Room. Along the darkened and dismal skyline, one could often see a lone figure moving in the observation tower, then bending low, as if he knows he has been spotted and is hiding. By dusk, everything sounded like noise. I was quite disturbed and could not work anymore. The house was full of busy servants and clerics. I knew something was not right when I stepped into the parlor. The Cardinal was dressed for ceremony and duty, a silver crucifix gleaming on his chest. The city was filled with rumors about the number of people who had lost their lives in the tragedy. #RandolphHarris 4 of 7

Some thought that everyone, including myself, had been slaughtered. There was a rare light to the expression of the Cardinal, an innocent exuberance. “Sit down, beautiful one,” he said. He told his attendant to go out. The door shut; the quiet seemed to close around them like water washing back from a shore. I looked up with just the slightest hesitation; I saw the Cardinal’s green eyes were filled with an infinite patience and wondering, and I felt the pang of warning. A dull sense of finality slowly came over me before the Cardinal spoke. “Come here to me,” The Cardinal whispered as though summoning a child. I had slipped far, far away into some realm that was not even thought, and I rose slowly and approached the Cardinal, who had risen from the chair. We stood almost eye to eye. “Mrs. Winchester,” he said softly, confidentially, “it is obvious that this is a return to ancient pagan practices, and witchcraft.” I smiled, “I believe that you are mistaken.” I cast one glance at the door—it stood wide open. “Look here, Cardinal,” I said, all of a sudden; ‘life’s not child’s play. That door is the trouble you have now to face, and you must face it.” The Cardinal sighed. He seemed lost in his thoughts for a moment, and he and his men escorted themselves off of my estate. It was not anger I felt so much as astonishment. He and his men haunted the valley and mountains and saved families from Indian attacks. #RandolphHarris 5 of 7

The Cardinal killed Indians whenever he could and always protected settlers. The Cardinal and his men eventually faded from the lands. Still, he was said to be a nomad who could not rest. You see, one day the Cardinal went out hunting, and came back to find his home on fire. He rushed into the house and immediately realized that Indians had attacked his family. He found their mutilated, scalped bodies inside the house. I thought it was the work of demons. In time, the Cardinal simply disappeared. No one knows where or when he died, but soon people began to say that they saw his specter in my home wearing that silver cross. Some believe that the Cardinal was staying in a cabin on Mount Umunhum, and a small group of Indians were watching the cabin for signs of life. The Indians, emboldened by the silence, drew ever closer. By noon, one day, they were just outside the cabin when the Cardinal started to shoot at them. As he desperately tried to think of a way out, suddenly flaming arrows were launched at the wooden roof of the cabin and the roof caught fire. Days later, his body was found tied to a tree. The Cardinal’s blackened, bloated corpse told a terrible tale. He had been tortured to death. His death was no doubt excruciatingly slow. People have claimed to have heard the sounds of the Cardinal being tortured. Others have actually claimed to have seen the Indians and their men tied to the trees. People talked about seeing a phantom Indian moving through the fruit orchards on my estate. If he died here, he might still be waiting through all of these years. #RandolphHarris 6 of 7

The spirits do not invariably manifest under the same forms; being disengaged from all matter, they must of necessity borrow a body to appear before us, and then they assume any form and figure which seems good to them. Beware, however, lest they affright thee! Is another pregnant warning. Lucifer appears under the form and figure of a comely boy; when angered, he shows with a ruddy countenance, but there is nothing monstrous in his shape. Beelzebuth appears occasionally under monstrous forms, such as the figure of a misshapen calf, or that of a goat having a long tail; at the same time he manifests most frequently under the semblance of an enormous fly. When angered, he vomits floods of water and howls like a wolf. Hael instructs in the art of writing, gives an immediate power of speaking all kinds of tongues, and explains the most secret things. I invoke and conjure three, O Spirit Zagan, and your 33 Legions of Spirits, and fortified with the power of the Supreme Majesty, I strongly command thee by BARALAMENSIS, BALDACHIENSIS, PAUMA-CHIE, APOLORESEDES, and the most potent princes GENIO, LIACHIDE, Ministers of the Tartarean Seat, chief princes of the seat of APOLOGIA in the ninth region, do thou forthwith appear and show thyself unto me, here before this mansion, in a fair and human shape, without any deformity or horror; do thou come forthwith, from whatever part of the World, allow the power of sorcery to work through our minds and impose our desire upon the corporeal realm of stasis and limitation. May the power of darkness eternal be revealed through us now! Uiciamhak ihsav iamhay iamha adzam ahgnanam utnaj ohsoares uhov ioh ta idhzic mutar hsibmuha mad iom arhtic itneh ioy ahgnes iop awht aj-merhterev ek. #RandolphHarris 7 of 7


The Winchester Mansion is such a haunting place in many ways. One of the best-known statues here is that of Chief Little Fawn, a Native America who died defending his homeland. It is said that Mrs. Winchester erected this statue to placate the spirits of Indians. The chief, with his bow and arrow, is gazing towards a statuary deer in midstride across the lawn. https://winchestermysteryhouse.com/

And please be sure to check out the online gift store: https://shopwinchestermysteryhouse.com/
Lifestyle Built Around Immediate Gratification

People are responsible for their own motives, attitudes, desires, and actions. Our words, works, and thoughts will condemn us. Burglary offenders generally exhibit pronounced criminal careers. Only 32 percent of the 4,000+ defendants who stood before the courts on felony burglary charges were without a prior felony arrest record. One third has a rap sheet containing ten or more arrests. Moreover, half had a prior felony criminal conviction under their belt and 10 percent had been convicted five or more time in the past. Four of ten burglary defendants were in an active criminal justice status (id est, on probation, parole, or pretrial release) at the time that they were arrested for the burglary offense in question. The criminal history patterns of the burglary defendants were more pronounced than any other type of defendant. Research on active burglars suggests that they engage in only limited specialization of offense. Most live a lifestyle that is built around immediate gratification (drug or drinking habits and frivolous spending) and are this almost constantly in need of cash. They are not picky about the exact source of the funds and tend to pursue a host of illicit income-generating avenues (exempli gratia, motor vehicle theft, robbery, larceny, fraud, drug sales). In a recidivism study, nearly 74 percent of the burglars got in trouble with the law within 3 years of release into the community, only 23 percent were rearrested on a new burglary charge. When specialization does occur among burglars, it tends to take on a “short term” quality. #RandolphHarris 1 of 14

Thirty three percent of burglars restricted their criminal activities solely to the crime of burglary during the past 6 months. This finding suggests that some habitual street offenders may fall into a groove and rely exclusively on burglary to support their drug use or fast-paced lifestyle. Over time, factors such as an opportunistic introduction to other criminal outlet, increased perceived risk, or saturation of “desirable” targets will inevitably lead them astray from their short-term specialization. Burglary is a crime that is principally guided by shallow instrumental motives. Most would-be offenders are drawn to the crime because of its monetary payoff. Habitual offenders describe burglary as a low-risk, high-yield form of crime. These risk perceptions are shaped by several factors. First, by implementing a minimal level of vigilance and commonsense, most offenders know that they can get in and out of a home or business without being identified. Second, they know that in lieu of physical evidence or eyewitness testimony, burglary offenses are difficult for police to solve. Third, seasoned offenders know that urban burglary victims (especially repeat victims) tend to have little faith in the police department’s ability to remedy their property losses or effect an arrest and thus may not be inclined to pursue the matter with the authorities. Finally, criminals know that burglary offenses are a low priority for law enforcement—numerous urban police forces now funnel burglary calls for service into an automated phone system that does little more than generate a police report for home owner’s insurance purposes. #RandolphHarris 2 of 14

Most burglars become accustomed to a fast-paced lifestyle and/or are addicted to drugs and thus continue to commit burglaries in the face of increasing risks and diminished rewards. In rare instances, burglars are known to exhibit expressive motivations. Inquiries reveal that burglars sometimes commit their crimes for excitement, revenge, or while in a drug- or alcohol-induced stupor. Issues of planning and target selection are critical to the burglar’s decision-making process. Planning refers to any prevent preparations that the burglar might put in place to assist him or her in more smoothly accomplishing goals. These preparations might include recruiting of accomplices with specific skills, “casing” the targeted establishment, or arranging for transportation. Research indicates that most burglars engage in only minimal prevent planning. They see no need to spend a lot of time thinking through the how, when, and where of their offending. Instead, they tend to operate in advance. There is a term known as opportunistic planning, which refers to the more spontaneous breed of burglar who identifies break-in opportunities as they arise and quickly formulates and implements a plan of attack. Alternatively, seasoned professionals often engage in search planning, whereby they are willing to spend considerable time looking for lucrative targets or wait for tipsters to supply them with such locations. These burglars might even limit their offending to specific types of dwellings (supermarkets, hotels). #RandolphHarris 3 of 14

Once a target is acquired, the offender(s) will formulate a predetermined division of labor, become familiar with the dwelling, and map out a contingency-based extraction and escape scenarios. Interview data reveal that these meticulous prowlers view planning as the cornerstone of low-risk, high-yield approach to the trade. Target selection refers to the strategic criteria that attract or repel a would-be offender from a given dwelling. Oftentimes, offenders wait for someone lese to direct them toward desirable targets. More precisely, they may rely on inside information from someone who is familiar with the dwelling. For example, an acquaintance, an employee, subcontractor (pest control worker, landscaper, maid, cable guy, manager, et cetera), or pizza deliver driver might identify a home or business as being particularly susceptible to a break-in. These informants sometimes go as far as to leave the doors or windows unlocked or provide the location and type of valuables that are available for the taking. Such tips are invaluable to the burglar and usually result in some form of payoff for the informant before or after the crime is committed. Or, in high scale neighborhoods, they will have pretty white girls case the block looking for houses they want to hit, and then knock on the door, ask to use the phone, start a conversation, visually memorize the layout of the homes and where the valuable are. Then, they draw a blueprint of the house and highlight things to get, and give it to their team. #RandolphHarris 4 of 14

Much of what we know about offender decision-making processes comes from a series of innovative studies specifically undertaken to assess the “in-the-field” thought processes of active burglars. Collectively, these studies suggest that burglars are sensitive to the physical space and architectural design. These characteristics play an important role in whether they follow through on a desire to victimize a given home or business. Offenders’ target selection processes are broken down into three categories: occupancy probes, surveillability cues, and accessibility cues. Occupancy cues allow the offender to determine if the dwelling is currently vacant. Empty homes or businesses are ideal because they minimize the likelihood that the assailant will be observed, interrupted, or reported while engaging in the crime. Burglars, therefore, become well versed at scanning the environment for signs of occupancy. Cues such as cars in the driveway/garage, silhouettes in the windows, or the sound of voices tell them that someone is home and that they are wise to keep moving along their way. A burglary might go so far as to look for newspapers on the stoop or a mailbox full of mail. Some will even knock on the door or call on the phone to see if anyone is inside. The most seasoned burglars will take a few days to study the daily routines of the occupants and even the neighbors. #RandolphHarris 5 of 14

Surveillability cues direct attention to the perimeter of a potential target. Here, the offenders seeks to determine whether they will be able to get into and out of an unoccupied structure without drawing the attention of neighbors or passers by. Ideal targets are poorly lit, secluded, fenced-in locations with minimal traffic and easily accessed entry and escape points. Conversely, nosey or nearby neighbors, significant foot traffic, neighbors with dogs, and the absence of shrubbery or fencing can encourage a burglary to move along their way. Som burglars seek to blend into the environment by wearing uniforms or driving service vehicles that deflect attention. Accessibility cues focus on the issue of entry. Here, the assailants seek out soft targets with unsophisticated or inoperable security devices. Unlocked doors or windows are appealing, while target hardening devices such as deadbolt locks, burglar alarms, burglar bars, or dogs sever as deterrents. Some burglars claim to have knowledge or skills regarding how to defeat sophisticated locks or alarm systems but, in practice, almost always chose to avoid undertaking the task. It appears that offenders are pragmatic on these issues; namely, they see no reason to take on a challenging target when they can bank on the fact that a “soft” one exists somewhere nearby. Drug and alcohol use appears to have an important impact on the thought processes of burglary offenders. Survey of federal and state prison inmates found that the majority (56 percent) of incarcerated burglars were under the influence of drugs or alcohol at the time of their most recent offense. #RandolphHarris 6 of 14

Urinalysis testing of arrestees suggests that the actual level of offense-related substance use may be even higher—nearly 80 percent of the burglars who were tested via the Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring (ADAM) program were shown to have drugs or alcohol in their system. These alarming statistics have led some to look more closely at the relationship between substance use ad burglary (id est, drugs/crime relationship). We interviewed active burglars with established drug habits. Several significant trends were revealed. As expected, these offenders explained that they relied on burglary as a primary source of money to support their drug habit (id est, instrumental motive source). Somewhat unexpectedly, drug use was said to facilitate the actual commission of burglars. That is, the burglars claimed that they routinely used drugs to enhance their skills (alertness, steadiness, et cetera) or to calm their nerves just prior to offending. Respondents described a tenuous relationship between burglary and drug use—they recognized that some drugs such as cocaine or other stimulants will predictably yield poor decision making and increased risks. Burglars appear to rely on simple and pragmatic normative neutralizations to account for their criminal indiscretions. Most burglars attach a sense of necessity to their crimes. For those with substance abuse problems, burglary is viewed as a primary means by which they can feed the habit and thus avoid withdrawal. For the nonaddicted offenders interviewed, burglary represents a reliable source of illegitimate income (along with robbery, theft, and drug dealing) by which they could solve pressing financial crises and/or sustain their free-wheeling lifestyle and delicate social status. #RandolphHarris 7 of 14

In our premortal life we had a moral agency. One purpose of Earth life is to show what choices we will make. If we are forced to choose the right, we would not be able to show what we would choose for ourselves. Also, we are happier doing things when we have made our own choices. The Lord has said that all people are responsible for their own actions. Even though we are free to choose our course of action, we are not free to chose the consequences of our actions. The consequences, whether good or bad, follow as a natural result of any choice we make. “The Holy Ghost, whom God hath given to them that obey Him,” is the principal phrase giving rise to the expression “obey the Spirit.” It was used by Peter before the priestly council in Jerusalem, but nowhere else in the Scriptures is the same thought given. The whole passage needs to be read carefully to reach a clear conclusion. “We must obey God” (Acts 5.29), Peter declared to the Sanhedrin, for “we are witnesses…and so is the Holy Ghost whom God hath given to them that obey Him” (v. 32). Does the apostle mean “obey the Spirit” or “obey God,” according to the first words of the passage? The distinction is important, and the sense of the words can be rightly grasped only by noting the teaching of other parts of Scripture, that the Triune GOD IN HEAVEN is to be obeyed through the power of the indwelling Spirit of God. For to place the Holy Ghost as the object of obedience, rather than God the Father, through the Son, by the Holy Spirit, creates the danger of leading the believer to rely upon, or obey, a “spirit” in or around one, rather than God on the throne in Heaven. #RandolphHarris 8 of 14

God is to be obeyed by the child of God untied to His Son—the Holy Spirit being the medium, or means, through whom God is worshipped and obeyed. Sometimes in life, we may experience a strong desire to be alone, and may deliberately cut ourselves off from others. We may seek within, not for an answer, but for a way to live, but sometimes nothing will come. Each day, some wait for the sun to rise, but only darkness persists. The World may look remote, strange. Its color may fade away, its breath becomes cold. One may see everything through a cloud…a thick veil alters the hue and look of everything. Persons mov like shadows, and sounds seem to come from a distant World—there are no longer any past for one; people appear so strange; it is as if one cannot see any reality, as if one was in a threatre; as if people are actors, and everything is scenery; one can no longer find oneself; one walks, but why? Everything floats before one’s eyes, but leaves no impression. Each day some people experience a continuing feeling of detachment and a desire to be alone, immune to life. One only wants internal dialogue, and believes that through an internal sign one will discover the next step. The concreteness of the content of faith brings in its wake doubt, risk, and anxiety. Elementary psychology dictates a direct ratio between concreteness and concern; one can be far more concerned about a concrete object than an abstract one. However, the more concretely the content of faith is expressed in a symbol, the greater is the possibility of error, for the element of absoluteness, of transcendence, may be edged out. #RandolphHarris 9 of 14

A preliminary concern, so alluring in its concreteness, may become the content of faith. Nor do we enjoy any immediate awareness that the content to which faith has committed us is truly ultimate. Consequently, doubt is an element which is always and will be always present in the act of faith. This doubt is neither methodological doubt, which is a mode of scientific inquiry, nor sceptical doubt, which is really a cloak for concealed faith. It is existential doubt arising from the tension between the ultimacy of concern and the concreteness of content. To complement the appearance of doubt, mention must be made also of risk and anxiety. Risk can be used to include both objective doubt about the concrete content of faith and subjective commitment to it. Risk is decision for the uncertain. Anxiety is a much broader concept, and, in fact, we build an ontology of anxiety. In this ontological sense, anxiety is the existential awareness of nonbeing. Nonbeing can threaten in several different ways. The way it threatens man’s spiritual life is by the anxiety of meaninglessness, an anxiety aroused by the loss of a spiritual center, of an answer, however symbolic and indirect, to the question of the meaning of existence. The doubter has lost God, truth, and the meaning of life, but one cannot rest in this loss, for one encounters the demand to what one has lost. One is gripped by the relentless power of truth, and, since one cannot fulfill the law of truth, one falls into despair. One doubts about one’s salvation, except that in one’s case loss of salvation is not the divine sentence of condemnation, but the abyss of meaninglessness. Radical doubt is not an ethical problem of flight from God. It is the struggle for participation in the unconditioned meaning of life. #RandolphHarris 10 of 14

The justification of the doubter (die Rechtfertigung des Zweiflers) paradoxically is accomplished by faith. For faith is ultimate concern, not the acceptance of theological truths, even truths about God and Christ. It is legalism to insist upon adoption of creedal beliefs before God grants justification. With the principle of justification by faith being applied to the religious-intellectual life—nothing only the sinner, but the doubter, too, is saved by faith, by one’s ultimate concern. The more serious the doubt and the more despairing the doubter, the greater is one’s concern for the meaning of life. This unconditional seriousness is the expression of the presence of the divine in the experience of utter separation from it. Faith is found in the depths of doubt. To put doubt in its proper context, attention is called to the fact that we intend to analyze the structure of faith, not describe an actual state of mind. Consequently, doubt is not a permanent experience within the act of faith. However, it is always present as an element in the structure of faith. Similarly, extreme anxiety is not a common occurrence, but the rare occasions in which it is present determine the interpretation of existence as a whole. In an economic sense, China has a lot to do with existence of the United States of America. China’s sensational performance as a manufacturing superpower left in the shadow its rapidly growing presence in the global market of commercial services. On other hand, in the services sector the West retains a significant edge it can sharpen even further. Here it is in a good position to capture the rapidly expanding markets of China and other large developing countries, but at this point its services exports to those countries are surprisingly small. #RandolphHarris 11 of 14

As of 2022, global services exports are estimated at USD$7 trillion. International services exports account for 6.3 percent of World GDP. With USD$795 billion worth of services sold internationally in 2021, the United States of America remained the World’s leading exporter, capturing a 13 percent share of the global market. It was followed, at some distance, by the United Kingdom (USD$418 billion), China, the leading exporter among developing economies, ranked third (USD$392 billion). The top five service exporters from developing exporters are: China, India, Singapore, United Arab Emirates, China, Hong Kong SAR. The top five service exporters from developed economies are: United States of America, United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and France. In exports of commercial services by country, the top seven are: United States of America, UK, Germany, France, China, Japan, Spain, Italy, India. In the transportation and especially travel services, the sectors where China achieved most is still significantly lagging behind the Western powers. The latter continue to command global markets. Growth of India’s exports of those services was remarkable, but in absolute terms they remain minor. In the financial and telecom services sector, China’s global presence is almost invisible: It is not among the top 15 exporters (here and in the flowing, the EU is counted as a single exporter). India, at number seven, accounted for 1.9 percent of global exports of telecom services. Its share of the global financial services market was 1.4 percent. In the latter sector it is about to catch up with Japan (1.9 percent of the World’s total), though remaining far behind the United States of America (21.1 percent) and the EU (25.6 percent). #RandolphHarris 12 of 14

The only sector where Western countries are not leading is computer and information services. Computer service export were dominated by the European Union, India and China in 2019. With a dominance distant from the rest, although en bloc, the European Union registered external sales of these services for USD$250.616 million, after, India with USD$55.472 million, and China USD$44.96 billion, other exporters of computer services were the United States of America, the United Kingdom, Israel, Singapore, Canada, the Philippines and the United Arab Emirates. When it comes to economical labor, a jolting blow is likely to hit the Less Developed Countries (LDCs) even harder and change power relations among within them. Every since the smoky dawn of the industrial era, capitalist manufacturers have pursued the golden grail of inexpensive labor. After World War II the hunt for foreign sources of inexpensive labor became a stampede. Many developing countries bet their entire economic future on the theory that selling labor inexpensive labor would lead to modernization. Some, like the “four tigers” of East Asia—South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore—even won their bet. They were helped along by a strong work ethic, cultural and other unique factors, including the fact that two bitter wars, the Korean conflict in the 1950 and Vietnam in the 1960s and early ’70, pumped billions of dollars into their region. Some Japanese referred to this dollar influx as the “divine wind.” #RandolphHarris 13 of 14

Because of their success, it is now almost universally believed that shifting from the export of agricultural products or raw materials to the export of goods manufactured by inexpensive labor is the path to development. Yet nothing could be further from the long-range truth. There is no doubt that the inexpensive-labor game is still being played all over the World. Even now Japan is transferring plants and contracts from Taiwan and Hong Kong, where wages have risen, to Thailand, Malaysia, and China, where wages are still one-tenth those in Japan. No doubt many opportunities still exist for rich countries to locate pools of inexpensive labor in the LDCs. However, like leasing military bases or shipping ore, the sale of inexpensive labor is also reaching its outer limits. The reason for this is simple: Under the newly emerging system of wealth creation, inexpensive labor is increasingly expensive. As the new system spreads, labor costs themselves become a smaller fraction of total costs of production. In some industries today, labor costs represent only 10 percent of the total costs of production. A 1 percent saving of a 10 percent cost factor is only one tenth of a percent. By contrast, better technology, faster and better information flows, decreased inventory, or streamlined organization can yield savings far beyond any that can be squeezed out of hourly workers. This is why it may be more profitable to run an advanced facility in Japan or the United States of America, with a handful of highly educated, highly paid employees, than a backward factory in China or Brazil that depends on masses of badly educated low-wage workers. Inexpensive labor, is no longer enough to ensure market advantage to developing countries. #RandolphHarris 14 of 14

Some Mistakes Can be More Serious than a Sin

Sometimes it is not easy to tell the difference between a mistake and a sin. The boundary can be uncertain. Take the matter of the beautiful China Doll Tree in our backyard. One spring when it finally started growing again, after being cut down, the gardener thought the tree was getting too tall, he pruned it, quite severely. My brother evaluated his pruning and said it was a sin. I thought the extent of his pruning was a mistake at worst. However, I did not think this was needful of chastening and repentance. My experience with the overpruning the China Doll leads to the large category of undesirable conduct that is surely an error or mistake, and, at an extreme level, can cross over the border into transgression. When we willfully pass up an opportunity to progress toward eternal life, this is surely a mistake that should be corrected. In one way of looking at things, it is also a sin. This would apply to such things as failing to get schooling to prepare us for life, wasting our time, or failing to maintain the good grooming or to acquire the social or communication skills that would help us obtain employment or favorable consideration. Mistakes can also lead to sins. There are so many unenlightened people in the World for ignorance to take root in. The violation of social limits like curfews or missionary rules can make one vulnerable to sin. Or a mistake committed by one person can lead another person into sin in attempting to correct it. We should not conclude that a sin is always more serious than a mistake. #RandolphHarris 1 of 21

Almost all sins, large and small, can be repented of, but some serious mistakes, like driving under the influence of drugs or alcohol can lead to manslaughter and 25 years to life in prison, which is irreversible. This shows that a big mistake may have more serious permanent effects than a small transgression. Another thing about the relationship of sins and mistakes is that they can often go together. This is a serious truth. Recent victimization data suggest that crimes against property account for more than three fourths of all criminal victimizations that occur annually in the United States of America. Roughly one in every sic property crimes takes the shape as a household burglary. It takes very little to conjure up an image of a burglar crawling through and unlocked second-story window or jiminy the lock of a hotel room. This abstract imagery is reinforced by television series such as S.W.A.T, Criminal Minds, Blue Bloods, FBI, Cold Case, and Law and Order, wherein nearly every episode includes at least one call-for-service to the scene of a burglary. Americans clearly view burglary as a serious crime that carries with it a potential to disrupt the lives of the citizenry as well as overburden the criminal justice system. Laypersons have a tendency to interchange the terms robbery, burglary, and larceny. This is poor practice as there are distinct differences between these three types of crime. Robbery is an act of force or threatened force occurring during the course of a theft. The clear emphasis on physical force leads to robbery being classified as a crime of violence. Larceny is defined as a simple act of taking without force and irrespective of where the theft occurs. #RandolphHarris 2 of 21

This makes larceny a classic example of a property crime as the act is directed specifically toward depriving someone of his or her property. Burglary, on the other hand, is not so cut and dried. According to the Model Penal Code, a burglary occurs when a person enters a building or occupied structure with the purpose of committing a crime therein. There are three important components of this definition: the entry (usually referred to as breaking and entering or remaining), the dwelling, and the intent to offend while inside. Most scholarly sources (including the National Crime Victimization Survey and the Uniform Crime Reports) tacitly assume that the contents of a dwelling are the target of the crime and thus classify burglary as a property offense. However, since damage or deprivation of property need not occur, we maintain that burglary is more aptly described as a crime of intrusion or a crime against habitation. There were 2.5 million burglaries in the United States of America in 2022, which is down from 3.1 million in 2001. Our homes are our castles and burglars are aware of that. In fact, $737,294,919,165 worth of property was reported stolen in residential burglaries in 2021. The average stolen value is $3,100. On average, each break-in last eight to ten minutes, and 25 percent of these burglaries took place during the day. Americans spend over $20 billion annually on security devices and systems to protect themselves and their property. #RandolphHarris 3 of 21

Burglary represents 13 percent of total number of criminal victimizations that were reported and translates into a victimization rate of 28.7 burglaries per 1,000 household. Residential burglary—are those offenses that target homes. There are also nonresidential burglaries—those that occur in offices, stores, warehouses. Pooling of NCVS data on residential burglary and the UCR data on nonresidential burglary suggests that roughly 3.5 million burglaries (residential and nonresidential) occurred in this country during 2022. Victims of burglary routinely complain about the sense of violation and perceived invasion of privacy that goes along with having their homes burglarized. However, there are usually monetary losses that accompany the emotional trauma. A fully 87 percent of the household burglaries occurring in 2022 were said to result in a monetary loss due to theft of property damage. Where a theft is committed in conjunction with a break-in, burglars appear willing to direct their thievery toward a wide array of valuables—jewelry, household furnishings, tools, firearms and cash were among the most frequently stolen items. However, there is encouraging news about the incidence of residential burglary. Our nation’s victimization rates steadily declined, as stated above. Victimization data suggest that residential burglary rates are relatively stable across the U.S.A. South (29.7), Midwest (33.6), and West (30.2). The notable exception to this trend is seen in the Northeast, where the 2022 victimization rate was significantly lower at 18.7 per 1,000 households. #RandolphHarris 4 of 21

The states with the highest burglary rate are: Texas, Arizona, Missouri, Tennessee, and Washington. At the other end of the continuum, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Montana, South Dakota, and Pennsylvania were shown to have the lowest burglary rates. Urban areas experience the highest residential burglary rates (37.3 per 1,000 households). What is somewhat unexpected is the fact that the aggregate burglary rate for rural areas (26.7) is higher than the corresponding rate for suburban areas (24.3). Studies show that burglary patterns often vary considerably across and within suburban locales. Factors such as an effective police presence, active neighborhood watch programs, and prevention-friendly residential design (strategic landscaping and street layout) are found to have a significant impact on the level of burglary activity in a suburb. Burglary is one of the few crimes for which the United States of America fares well in comparison to other developed nations. Official reports made availably by police agencies in the United States of America establish nationwide offense rate for burglary at 862.0 per 100,000 inhabitants. By comparison, Australia (2,338.4), England and Wales (1,832.7), Germany (1,507.1), and Canada (1,155.7) experienced higher burglary rates. Lower rates were observed in countries such as France (676.9), Spain (570.2), and Japan (187.9). #RandolphHarris 5 of 21

Entry into an occupied dwelling is one of the critical components of the legal definition of burglary. Contrary to popular belief, burglars tend to be an unsophisticated lot who rely on soft targets and brute force to accomplish their crimes. Offender based research shows that a surprising number of these unlawful entries are accomplished by the burglar simply passing through an open door or window. Habitual offenders learn that they cannot always count on this type of open invitation and thus come prepared with a variety of tools and/or strategies to assist them in defeating locks, windows, and doors. This is perhaps best evidenced by the fact that roughly two thirds of known burglaries involve some form of forced entry. Forced entry is often accomplished through the use of crowbars, screwdrivers, or hammers. A burglar may also become adept at popping sliding glass doors off their tracks, identifying alarms, or efficiently defeating deadbolt locks. For the most part, however, these skills and tools are best described as rudimentary in nature. Burglary activities are shaped by a number of factors. The time of day and occupancy status of the dwelling stand as two clear examples. Law enforcement reports indicate that 60 percent of all residential burglaries occur during the day while roughly 60 percent of nonresidential burglaries take place at night. Occupancy appears to be the driving factor behind these statistics—residential dwellings are most susceptible to burglary at night when they are closed to business. #RandolphHarris 6 of 21

Burglars clearly prefer unoccupied homes or businesses, as this situation allows them more freedom to enter and exist without being detected. Residential burglars disproportionately come calling on multiunit rental properties. Multiunit dwellings are significantly more likely to be burglarized than single-family structures. In the same vein, rental properties generally experience higher victimization rates than do properties that are owned. The transience and anonymity of these types of dwellings allow the burglar to move about without being noticed. The significance of this “transience effect” is further highlighted by recent victimization reports showing that a newly occupied residence (less than 6 months) faces more than three times the risk of burglary than a home that has been occupied for 5 or more years. Residence that are occupied by young, less affluent, people not of the dominant race face the greatest risk of being burglarized. First, recent victimization data reveal a direct relationship between the age of the person who serves as the head of the household and the likelihood that the home will be burglarized. The burglary rate for homes in which the head of household is under 20 years of age (66.9) was more than 4 times that of homes in which the head of household is over the age of 65 (16.6). Victimization rates for African American-headed households (42.8) were significantly higher than for Hispanic or European American-headed households (33.0 and 26.6, respectively). #RandolphHarris 7 of 21

There also exists a clear negative relationship between burglary victimization rates and family income—homes with an annual family income of less than $7,500 experienced a burglary rate than was more than doubled that of homes with a family income in excess $75,000 (58.0 versus 22.7). A residence that has been burglarized once faces a higher risk of future victimization than a home that has never been targeted. Repeat victimization is due, in part, to repeat offending—either the offender views the dwelling as a soft target or he or she returns to obtain goods that could not be removed during the first offense. There also seems to be a “neighborhood effect” underlying repeat victimization, wherein habitual offenders prefer to travel short distances from where they live and frequent those areas with appealing physical layouts (exempli gratia, ready access to escape routes, poor lighting, minimal foot traffic). The offender-victim relationship also appears to play a role in initial and repeat burglary victimizations. Interviews with active offenders reveal that burglars sometimes target the homes of acquaintances. Existing relationships afford the offender knowledge about the layout and contents of the home as well as the daily routines of the occupants. While few offenders report ripping off their close friends or relatives, they cannot pass up a casual acquaintance’s home if it is not a soft target. Given the covert nature of the crime, we cannot rely on victimization reports to inform us about the characteristics of burglary offenders. #RandolphHarris 8 of 21

Nearly 90 percent of all arrestees for burglary were men. Almost one 33 percent of the persons arrested were under the age of 18 and roughly 60 percent were under 25. The data of offenders based on race is inconclusive. There is a group of offenders that are over represented, but they only make up 30 percent of the arrested suspect. Most burglaries take on a hit-and-run quality. Offenders claim that they try to spend as little time as possible getting in and getting out of the dwellings that they burglarize. This haste often means that broken windows, clues to their identity, and/or overlooked valuables are left behind. Once a threat-related burglary is completed, the offender is left with the task of converting the stolen goods into cash. One option has the offender serving an entrepreneurial role and selling or trading the goods (for drugs or other desired commodities). In most urban communities, there exists an underground economy. This is the informal market economy that allows thieves to sell their booty to residents (from the seediest drug dealer to the most law-abiding blue collar and professionals) who are more than happy to buy “warm” or even clearly “hot” goods is the price is right. These transactions run the gamut from a quick sale by the burglar out of the trunk of his or her car to a seasoned fence who stocks an entire warehouse or pawn shop with stolen goods. This entrepreneurial course of action requires time and effort on stolen goods. This entrepreneurial course of action requires time and effort on the part of the burglar. #RandolphHarris 9 of 21

Many offenders choose to avoid these hassles by passing the stolen goods along to a fence. A fence is an individual who specializes in the buying and selling of stolen goods. Several case studies have been published about the “life and crimes” of persons who make a living from buying and selling of stolen goods. The fence plays a role in the stolen property system. This concept refers to the various players (id est, burglary, fence, buyer) and roles (extraction, repackaging, marketing, and sale) that come together to sustain a market for stolen property. Crimes involve a deception. Deception has to do with the mind, and by definition is the result of a thought being admitted to the mind under the erroneous assumption that it is truth. Since deception is based on ignorance, and not on one’s moral character, a Christian who is “true and faithful” up to the knowledge one has is yet open to deception in the spheres where one is ignorant. We are liable to be deceived by the unenlightened because of ignorance. The thought that God will protect a believer from being deceived if one is true and faithful is in itself a deception, because it throws a man off guard, and ignores the fact that there are conditions on the part of the believer which have to be fulfilled for God’s working. God does not do anything instead of a man, but by the man’s cooperation with Him; neither does He undertake to make up for a man’s ignorance, when He has already provided knowledge for him which will prevent him from being deceived. #RandolphHarris 10 of 21

If there had been no danger of deception, or if God had undertaken to keep them from deception apart from their “taking heed” and their knowledge of such danger, Christ would not have warned His disciples, “Take heed…be not deceived.” We must not lower our spiritual guard. The knowledge that it is possible to be deceived keeps the mind open to truth and light from God, and is one of the primary conditions for the keeping power of God; whereas a mind closed to light and truth is certain guarantee of deception by the unenlightened at their earliest opportunity. As we glance back over the history of the Church, and study the rise of various “heresies” or “aberrant belief systems”—as they have sometimes been called—we can at times detect that the period of deception began with some great crisis, a crisis in which a particular individual was motivated to give oneself up in full abandonment to the Holy Spirit, and in so doing he opened himself to the supernatural powers of the invisible World. The reason for the peril of such a crisis is that, up to this time, that believer used one’s reasoning faculties in judging right and wrong, and obeyed what one believed to be the will of God from principle; but now, in one’s abandonment to the Holy Spirit, one begins to obey an unseen Person, and to submit one’s faculties and one’s reasoning powers in blind obedience to that which one believes is of God. The will is surrendered to carry out the will of God at all costs, and the whole being is made subject to the powers of the unseen World. #RandolphHarris 11 of 21

The believer, of course, purposes that it shall only be to the power of God, not taking into account that there are other powers in the metaphysical realm, and that all that is “supernatural” is not entirely of God. Not realizing that, this absolute surrender of one’s whole being to invisible forces without knowing how to discern between the contrary powers of God and malevolent forces are the gravest risk to the inexperienced believer. The question whether this surrender to “obey the Spirit” is one that is in accord with Scriptures should be examined in view of the way in which so many wholehearted believers have been misled, for it is strange that an attitude which is scriptural should be so grievously the cause of danger, and often of complete wreckage. Sometimes people experience loneliness and isolation due to their own personal struggle and anguish, as they are confronting the unknow in solitude and self-renewal. This may lead to some cutting themselves off from others—family and friends and all those persons with whom one has shared one’s life. There are pains and horrors as well as an eventual breakthrough to new energy and life, that convey in depth something of the feelings and ideas involved and the shocking awareness and discovery of what it means to trust the unknown in guiding the way. It is a good idea to recreate those currents of feeling and thought to awaken one’s own awareness and being and to know that one is alive in this moment and that loneliness has helped to sustain that life. #RandolphHarris 12 of 21

This message is not simply in words but in the pauses between and in the sweep of feeling and mystery through which the words have been created, of which the words are only a fragment. If one is interested merely in providing knowledge that grew out of one’s study of loneliness, one would summarize in brief terms. However, there is a crucial difference between a living process and knowledge about life. The reality itself is established on the hope that it will create within one a realization of one’s own sense of mystery, one’s own response to the unknown, and the opening of one’s inner life to the truth of this journey and all the journeys to follow. The objective side of faith is considered the content of faith; doubt, risk, and anxiety; faith and courage; and the truth of faith and the Protestant principle. The name or symbol for that which concerns man ultimately is “God.” God does not first exist and then demand that man be ultimately concerned about him. Rather, whatever concerns man ultimately is god for him. Symbols are the language of faith, for ultimate concern must be expressed concretely and yet transcendently. The basic symbol of faith is God, but there can be others—for example, the divine attributes of power, justice, and love. And if the word “God” no longer has meaning, people are exhorted to translate it, and speak of the depths of one’s life, of the source of one’s being, of one’s ultimate concern, of what one takes seriously without any reservation…of the depth of history, of the ground and aim of our social life.” #RandolphHarris 13 of 21

Perhaps one has to forget the word “God” altogether in order to comprehend what God is. The issue at stake is not the existence of God, but rather which symbol is most adequate to express the content of faith. One can have a “Personal God,” but we also understand this is the ground and abyss of being and meaning. One should be deeply moved with the wonder of life and the feeling of living within natural elemental things. At the same time, many of us feel sadness due to the awareness of how often people today are cut off from or indifferent to water and Earth and trees. The World today is sick to its thin blood for lack of elemental things, for fire before the hands, for water welling from the Earth, for air, for the dear Earth itself underfoot. In the World of beach and dune these elemental presences lived and had their being, and under their arch there moves an incomparable pageant of nature and the years. The flux and reflux of ocean, the incoming of waves, the gathering of birds, the pilgrimages of the sea, winter and storm, the splendour of autumn and the holiness of spring. One must learn to recognize the striking beauty, with all the amazing adventures, the awesome discoveries in nature and the freedom from time pressures and schedules, but something may be missing. We should share out deepest thoughts and feelings, issues and conflicts that emerge in our living with God, and relate with an openness, freedom and trust that encourages each of us to purse individual preferences without a sense of loss. #RandolphHarris 14 of 21

Dealing with globalization, in this market for the wealthy, including the high-end products segment, competition with domestic companies is going to be really tough. The assumption that Chinese firms are mostly commanding the low-end product segment while Western manufacturers comfortably occupy the high-end one, may still stand for the global market, but already does not apply to the market of China itself. Chinese firms are actively upgrading their products, improving their quality, and establishing brands. At this point, their activities of this kind are targeting mostly domestic customers. In the domestic market they have important advantages over Western competitors: proximity to the marketplace, absence of cultural and language barriers, and better knowledge of local customers’ preferences—not to say that, while upgrading their products and building brands, they still enjoy a substantial cost advantage. Unlike overseas, inside the country their names are known not less if not more than those of their Western counterparts. All this puts them in a good position to expand. Let us take the furniture market as a representative example. One the one hand, Western firms are noticeably increasing their presence. Top brands like G. Versace, ColomboMobili, Fendi, or Rubelli have made their entries. The largest U.S.A. furniture maker Haworth has stated production in Shanghai, and the three largest sofa markers of Italy have also set up their Chinese factories. The U.S.A. brand Fine Furniture Design opened a flagship store in Beijing, followed by the Italian brand Savio Firmino. #RandolphHarris 15 of 21

On the other hand, however, domestic makers are moving remarkably fast to establish themselves as leading and immediately recognizable players in the high-end market niche. Shanghai-based Yun Dian Furniture offers furniture of the traditional Chinese style, often adding a little bit of Western flavor. In addition, it has found one more way to differentiate: All its pieces are made in mahogany. Foshan Jihao Furniture located at Lojiang town 40 kilometer from Guangzhou, has established a reputation as a high-end sofa manufacturer possessing such brand names as Menoir, Kouma, Kamina, and Sofia. Well known in China, it has also independently developed brands in South Korea, Spain, Australia, and Poland. Dongguan-based maker Fu Yi Furniture opened a 1,500-square-meter specialty store in Beijing selling Chinese brands of the classic, casual, and modern styles: a total of 16 series of latest stylish products. In the capital goods sector, competition is no less fierce. For instance, China’s consumer electronics market is worth USD $179 billion as of 2022. China is likewise the World’s largest consumer electronics exporter, with estimated earnings of USD $557 billion and accounting for 24 percent of the USD $2 trillion worth of exports Worldwide. In the World’s most extensive electronics manufacturing ecosystem and supply chain, with more than fives times the electronics suppliers based in Japan and a labor force of manufacturing workers close to 150 million. New powerful domestic competitors are emerging like Chint, a maker of low-voltage electronics, and Shanghai Electric, a manufacturer of power-generation equipment. #RandolphHarris 16 of 21

China is already pursuing a high-end niche and becoming more and more dominant. How should Western firms react? Jack Perkowski, an American entrepreneur who recently started JFP Holdings, a merchant bank for China, gives a very interesting example. One of his American clients makes electrical testers in the United States of America that can test for up to eight to nine items and sells them in China. Its competitors are GE and other World-famous electrical brands. About 15 Chinese manufacturers produce similar lower-end products, which can test only two to three items. The Chinese market for the latter is bigger than for eight-to nine-item testers. In a few years Chinese companies are expected to be making eight-to nine-item testers at a lower cost. The question is: What can the U.S.A. producer do? J. Perkowski suggests that it can and should start making two to three-item testers in China, bringing in Chinese managers and workers—in other words, to become a full-fledged Chinese player. This is the option two were discussed earlier. Definitely, at the company level such business strategy has its rationale. For instance, DMG of Germany, the World’s largest maker of machine tools, is doing exactly what J. Perkowski recommends: It has started to develop low-cost models for Chinese customers and to produce them locally. Yet developments of this kind, while strengthening the production base of China, are weakening the bases of America, Europe, and Japan, accelerating production power shift. #RandolphHarris 17 of 21

Tomorrow Chinese firms will be able to produce many high-end products of today, and will make them less expensively than their Western counterparts. However, there is still a concern with some products about their durability and function. If the West wants to preserve its production base, it will still have to enable domestic, not Chinese-based, factories of its firms to differentiate the products, further upgrade technologies, and raise the degree of sophistication. The governments have to aggressively promote the exports of those products to China and other emerging market countries. Also, much more attention has to be paid to development of products tailored to the needs of Chinese customers. Thus, the problem posed by J. Perkowski, perhaps, may have one more solution: run ahead, develop even more high-end testers, produce them at home, and work to create the market for them in China, or, if this is not feasible, use your technological skills to develop, produce, and export similar high-end items. The competition in the Chinese market is going to be very tough, but the fight for it is worthwhile. The West has to increase the number of domestic factories that can be strong fighters. However, another blow awaits countries that base their development plans on the export of bulk raw materials such as copper or bauxite. Here, too, power-shifting changes are just around the corner. Mass production required vast amounts of a small number of resources. By contrast, as de-massified manufacturing methods spread, they will need many more different resources—in much smaller quantities. #RandolphHarris 18 of 21

Furthermore, the faster metabolism of the new global production system also means that resources regarded as crucial today may be worthless tomorrow—along with all the extractive industries, railroad sidings, mines, harbor facilities, and other installations built to move them. Conversely, today’s useless junk could suddenly acquire great value. Oil itself was regarded as useless until new technologies, and especially the internal combustion engine, made it vital. Titanium was largely useless white powder until it became valuable in aircraft and submarine production. However, the rate at which new technologies arrived was slow. That, of course, is no longer true. Superconductivity, to choose a single example, will eventually reduce the need for energy by cutting transmission losses and, at the same time, will require new raw materials for its use. New antipollution devices for automobiles may no longer depend on platinum. New pharmaceutical may call for organic substances that today are either unknown or unvalued. In turn, this could change poverty-stricken countries into important suppliers—while undercutting today’s big bulk exporters. What is more, in the words of Umberto Colombo, Chairman of the EC’s Committee on Science and Technology, “In today’s advanced and affluent societies, each successive increment in per capita income is linked to an ever-smaller rise in quantities of raw materials and energy used.” Colombo cites figures from the International Monetary Fund showing that “Japan…in 1984 consumed only 60 percent of the raw materials required for the same volume of industrial output in 1973.” Advancing knowledge permits us to do more with less. As it does so, it shifts power away from the bulk producers. #RandolphHarris 19 of 21

Beyond this, fast-expanding scientific knowledge increases the ability to create substitutes for imported resources. Indeed, the advanced economies may soon be able to create whole arrays of new customized materials such as “nanocomposities” virtually from scratch. The smarter the high-tech nations become about micro-manipulating matter, the less dependent they become on imports of bulk raw materials from abroad. The new wealth system is too protean, too fast-moving to be shackled to a few “vital” materials. Power will therefore flow from bulk raw material producers to those who control “eyedropper” quantities of temporarily crucial substances, and from them to those who control the knowledge necessary to create new resources de novo. Several of us today are concerned about gasoline prices. Many gasoline stations used to advertise only the price of their leaded gasoline. What made this peculiar is that very few of their customers actually bought leaded gasoline; only cars manufactured before 1976 are able to use leaded gas. It is clear how this practice began. Originally, there was only one type of gasoline. It was not until 1911, when Lewis and Jacob Blaustein invented a way to boost gasoline octane without using lead additives, that unleaded gas even became available. Another sixty years passed before it became the standard. Now stations continue to advertise the price of a product bought by few customers. The stations display only one number to catch the eye of the passing motorist and continue to use the one they used before. Most motorists must infer the unleaded price they need to know from the lead price. Why does this practice persist? #RandolphHarris 20 of 21

If one gasoline station decided to advertise its unleaded gas prices in big numbers, what would happen? Motorists find it too difficult to read anything but numbers. As a result, they assume it is the leaded gas price being advertised. Typically, unleaded gas is about five cents a gallon more expensive at the pumps, and drivers therefore would mistakenly add about a nickel to make their guess of the unleaded price. This maverick gasoline station puts itself at a disadvantage, as motorists overestimate it price. Interestingly enough, unleaded gas is less expensive wholesale. This suggests tht leaded has plays the role of a loss leader. Economists can offer a second reason why leaded gasoline sells for less: it is bought by a different set of customers. You might not be surprised to see smaller markups on products brought by people who drive old cars than on products bought by people who drive new cars. A new over of a $155,000 BMW is less likely to balk at a ten-cent markup than someone driving an older car that is beat-up. If society wants to improve matters for consumers, one way would be to legislate a change in the convention; require that if only one price is posted, this price must be that of unleaded. A second solution is to require that gasoline stations advertise in big numbers all of their basic grades, leaded, unleaded, and super unleaded. Soon enough this will all be moot; the sale of leaded gas is being phased out, so stations will have to advertise the price of their unleaded gas—it’s the only type they will be selling. #RandolphHarris 21 of 21

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